дочитал Вернора Винджа "Marooned in Realtime". послесловие гласит:
AFTERWORD
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Basically, I have an apology and a prediction. The apology is for the unrealistically slow rate of technological growth predicted. A general war, like the one I put in 1997, can be used to postpone progress anywhere from ten years to forever. But what about after the recovery? I show artificial intelligence and intelligence amplification proceeding at what I suspect is a snail's pace. Sorry. I needed civilization to last long enough to hang a plot on it.
...
So, the prediction: If we don't have that general war, then it's you, not Della and Wil, who will understand the Singularity in the only possible way -- by living through it.
San Diego
1983-1985
AFTERWORD
...
Basically, I have an apology and a prediction. The apology is for the unrealistically slow rate of technological growth predicted. A general war, like the one I put in 1997, can be used to postpone progress anywhere from ten years to forever. But what about after the recovery? I show artificial intelligence and intelligence amplification proceeding at what I suspect is a snail's pace. Sorry. I needed civilization to last long enough to hang a plot on it.
...
So, the prediction: If we don't have that general war, then it's you, not Della and Wil, who will understand the Singularity in the only possible way -- by living through it.
San Diego
1983-1985